Bhopal, February 2 Madhya Pradesh continues to witness fluctuating weather patterns, with some regions experiencing cold waves and others anticipating light showers. However, meteorologists predict that the cold will now be restricted to mornings and nights, while daytime temperatures will see a significant rise, making the sun feel intense.
On the first day of February, the state experienced a mix of weather conditions. Temperatures soared past 32 degrees Celsius in Mandla, Malajkhand, Khandwa, and Khargone. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), 10 districts, including Ratlam and Ujjain, are likely to receive light rain today, which may briefly intensify the cold.
Cloud Cover and Rainfall Expected in Early February
The IMD has forecast that certain parts of Madhya Pradesh will experience cloudy conditions during the first week of February. Light rain is expected on February 12, 13, and 14. By February 20, winter’s grip will further loosen, leading to an increase in both daytime and nighttime temperatures.
A western disturbance is set to become active from February 3, primarily affecting the western and northern regions of India. This system will also impact the northern parts of Madhya Pradesh, particularly Gwalior and Chambal, where cloudy skies and drizzles are expected. However, this system is not particularly strong, meaning there is no significant chance of heavy rainfall anywhere in the state.
10 Districts Likely to Experience Light Rainfall
On Sunday, February 2, light showers are predicted in Ratlam, Ujjain, Shivpuri, Guna, Ashoknagar, Neemuch, Mandsaur, Shajapur, Dewas, and Agar Malwa. As a result, the cold may intensify, and temperatures could dip by 2 to 3 degrees Celsius. In some areas, dense fog is expected, which could bring the minimum temperature below 7 degrees Celsius.
Rising Daytime Temperatures: A Sign of Waning Winter
The first day of February already saw significant warmth in several districts. Mandla recorded a maximum temperature of 32.4°C, Malajkhand 32.9°C, Khandwa 32.5°C, and Khargone 32°C. Additionally, temperatures ranged between 30 and 31 degrees in Betul, Ratlam, Damoh, Jabalpur, Rewa, Sagar, Satna, Seoni, Tikamgarh, and Umaria. Sunday is expected to witness a further increase in daytime temperatures.
Despite warm afternoons, the nights remain relatively cool. On Friday-Saturday night, the minimum temperature dropped to 16°C in Sagar and 17°C in Seoni.
Impact on Daily Life and Agriculture
The fluctuating weather has been causing inconvenience to residents. The early morning and nighttime chill require people to wear warm clothes, while the sharp midday sun compels them to shed layers. The transition period between winter and summer is making it difficult for people to adjust to the changing temperatures.
For farmers, these climate variations are crucial. While winter crops like wheat and mustard require cooler temperatures, a sudden rise in heat during the day could impact their growth. Rainfall in certain areas could benefit some crops, but unseasonal showers may also lead to minor damage.
Meteorologists’ Analysis: Why Is the Weather Changing?
Weather experts attribute these fluctuations to a series of western disturbances and the general transition from winter to pre-summer conditions. The recent warming trend is consistent with global climate patterns, which have been causing winters to end earlier than usual in several parts of India.
According to senior meteorologists, western disturbances bring moisture-laden winds from the Mediterranean region, which leads to cloud formation and rain in northern and central India. However, due to a weakening of this system in the current cycle, Madhya Pradesh will only see light rain and scattered clouds rather than heavy showers.
Looking Ahead: What to Expect in the Coming Weeks?
- Short-Term (February 2-5): Mild rain in select districts, minor temperature drops in some areas, and continued cold during the night and early morning.
- Mid-February (February 6-15): Cloud cover likely, particularly around February 12-14, with a slight chance of rain.
- Late February (February 16-28): Gradual increase in temperature, with warm afternoons and diminishing cold spells.
By the end of February, temperatures are expected to settle into early summer levels, with a noticeable decline in cold conditions. However, some cities may still experience mild morning chill until early March.
Conclusion: Preparing for an Early Summer?
With temperatures already crossing 32 degrees Celsius in several districts, Madhya Pradesh may experience an early onset of summer. The gradual decline in cold and rising daytime temperatures indicate that winter is retreating faster than usual.
Residents are advised to stay prepared for fluctuating temperatures, dress accordingly, and take necessary precautions against sudden weather changes. Meanwhile, farmers should stay updated with weather forecasts to plan irrigation and crop protection strategies effectively.
As February progresses, all eyes will remain on the sky—whether for signs of fleeting winter chills or an advancing summer heatwave.
